In 2025, the government assigned the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment an agricultural export target of at least $65 billion. With the efforts of the entire sector, the Ministry is approaching this goal and may even exceed the plan.

Markets increasing agricultural imports

Agricultural exports continue to record significant growth.

Agricultural export turnover in September is estimated at $6.35 billion, up 11.8% compared to September 2024, bringing total agricultural export turnover for the first 9 months of 2025 to $52.31 billion, an increase of 14% compared to the same period last year.

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By region, Asia is the largest export market for Vietnamese agricultural products with a market share of 43.9%. The next two largest markets are the Americas and Europe with market shares of 23% and 14.2% respectively. The market shares of Africa and Oceania are small, accounting for 3% and 1.3% respectively.

Compared to the same period in 2024, Vietnam’s agricultural export value in the first 9 months of 2025 to Asia increased by 4.1%; the Americas increased by 11.4%; Europe increased by 40.6%; Africa increased by 91.6%; and Oceania increased by 6.5%.

By specific market, the United States with a 20.6% market share, China with a 20% market share, and Japan with a 7.1% market share are the three largest export markets for Vietnamese agricultural products.

Compared to the same period in 2024, Vietnam’s agricultural export value in the first 9 months of 2025 to all three markets increased. Specifically, the United States increased by 9%, China increased by 5.9%, and Japan increased by 23.9%.

Potential to exceed the $65 billion target

Despite the general context, the agricultural export picture has many bright spots; however, certain difficulties have been recorded for some product groups, affecting growth levels.

For example, for the rice industry, export volume in the past 9 months reached 7 million tons and $3.55 billion, up 0.1% in volume but down 18.5% in value compared to the same period in 2024. The average rice export price in the past 9 months is estimated at $509 per ton, also down 18.6% compared to the same period in 2024.

Similarly, Vietnam’s fruits and vegetables are mainly exported to the Chinese market, accounting for 57.9% of export value. However, compared to the same period in 2024, the export value of fruits and vegetables to this market in the past 9 months decreased by 9.3%.

In recent months, although the agricultural sector has faced many challenges from natural disasters and epidemics, agricultural exports have maintained high growth momentum. The market structure has shown positive changes.

These results are thanks to the regular and close attention and direction of the Government and the Prime Minister, and the flexible management of the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment. Particularly important is the involvement of local authorities at two levels and the proactiveness of businesses and people.

If the average export value growth rate is maintained as in recent months, agricultural exports by the end of 2025 could reach $67 billion. In more favorable circumstances, this figure could reach over $70 billion.

“No matter how difficult it is, the Ministry believes that with the attention and direction of the Government and the Prime Minister, and flexible, timely, determined, and serious implementation, the agricultural sector will achieve the 2025 agricultural export target…”

Vietnam’s agricultural trade balance in the first 9 months of 2025 is estimated to have a surplus of $15.93 billion, up 17.6% compared to the same period last year. By product group, forestry products, aquatic products, and agricultural products are the three groups with a trade surplus in the first 9 months of 2025.

On the afternoon of October 1, the Director of the Hanoi Department of Agriculture and Environment inspected the recovery