As of 24:00 today (June 17), the new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments will begin. It is widely predicted that this round of oil price increases is certain, marking the fifth increase this year.
During this pricing cycle, the overall trend of international crude oil prices has been strong, especially near the end of the cycle, with tensions in the Middle East significantly pushing up international oil prices.
An analyst mentioned that during this cycle, the crude oil change rate has continuously been in the positive range and the increase has widened, with the current refined oil retail price adjustment window expecting an upward adjustment. As of the close on June 13, the domestic ninth working day reference crude oil change rate was 5.26%, with an expected increase in gasoline and diesel prices by about 230 yuan/ton. Since the trend of this round of retail price increases for refined oil is basically confirmed, the final adjustment might exceed 280 yuan/ton.
From the supply side, although OPEC+ is still in the process of increasing production, the conflict between Israel and Iran has led to increased potential supply risks, becoming the main focus of the current market. Geopolitical factors have led
